February 5,1997
Recommended Reading
In these columns I intend to supplement two, readily available reports
that discuss the minimum cost design (MCD) criteria and its applicability.
I highly recommend them.
One, published by NEWSWEEK, "Big Dumb Rockets" by Gregg Easterbrook,
as the cover story of their August 17,1987 issue (subsequently summarized
by READER's DIGEST in their December 1987 publication) discusses some of
the design issues raised by the criteria. The article also explains the
economical and political consequences of the criteria on the aerospace
community and how the community reacted to its introduction.
The other publication, "Leo On The Cheap" by Lt Col John R. London III,
Air University Press, Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama, October 1994, discusses
the engineering problems associated with placing payloads in low earth
orbit (LEO) and the work performed by industry in applying the MCD criteria
to system and subsystem design. The author also provides background information
on existing and proposed launch systems and the reasons why the aerospace
community should accept the MCD criteria.
Nevertheless, my effort will be quite extensive. I plan to provide a
description, an understanding, and the analytical derivation of the MCD
criteria. I also plan to provide the thinking that led to the design of
the SM(Semi-Mobile)ICBM and the minimum cost design space launch vehicle
(MCD/SLV) and the analytical techniques used in configuring minimum cost
systems, subsystems and components. This work will be based mostly on material
contained in The Aerospace Corporation report, "Proposed Minimum Cost Space
Launch Vehicle System" by A. Schnitt and Col F.W. Kniss, July 1968, and
on material contained in unpublished papers and briefings. Personal experiences
that may add to the understanding of the problems associated with the use
of the criteria will be described.
These are the salient points made by Gregg Easterbrook, albeit circa
1987. Most of these points will be expanded upon in subsequent columns.
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It was feared that the introduction of the MCD/SLV, dubbed the "Big Dumb
Booster" (BDB) might undermine Shuttle funding.
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The Soviets apparently took a low-cost approach to space, a conclusion
that one may reach by noting the many similarities that appeared to exist
between what was known of their hardware and the BDB design.
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The minimum weight/maximum performance criteria was first used, perhaps
correctly, in the design of our ICBMs. If there were reasons for thinking
that it was the proper design criteria for ICBMs, there were no logical
reasons for carrying it over in the design of space vehicles.
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The MCD analysis showed that first stages, as part of a multi-stage expendable
SLV, should be the least sophisticated; and that the optimum degree of
hardware sophistication increases with each successive, upper stage.
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The Saturn V moon rocket "exemplified the maximum-technology approach."
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The auxiliary ground equipment, whose cost and complexity can be greatly
influenced by the propellants used in the launch vehicle, is an important
element in minimizing total system cost..
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Both procurement agencies (NASA and the Air Force) and Congress like expensive
programs. There is no "political payoff" in programs "designed to save
money."
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The industry turned away from the BDB because embracing it would undermine
their relations with the procurement agencies and undercut high-cost programs
currently under contract and on the horizon, like the aerospaceplane ((now
known as the single stage-to-orbit (SSTO) launch vehicle)) and the space
station.
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TRW fabricated a 250,000 pound thrust, short duration, test engine (later
successfully tested at Edwards AFB) for an extremely low cost. The injector
design was based on the (10,000 pound thrust) LEMDE rocket engine. The
LEMDE engine was used in the descent module of the Apollo moon lander......
(I selected the main propulsion engines for the BDB to be larger versions
of the LEMDE because of its design simplicity, reliability, low cost, throttlability,
and likely scalability to multi-million pound thrust levels-in essence,
because it appeared to be the "rubber" rocket engine that fit an overall
design and development plan.)
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Boeing (fully appreciative of the MCD criteria and not under contract to
develop or build SLVs) recognized the potential of the TRW engine and the
MCD/SLV. Using in-house funds they fabricated a stage scaled to match a
250,000 pound thrust engine to which the TRW engine was attached for exhibition
purposes. However, Boeing lost interest in the MCD/SLV when "NASA and the
Air Force had agreed that all future payloads would use the shuttle."
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To maximize Shuttle use, NASA obtained a monopoly in launching commercial
satellites (rescinded after the Challenger accident). Since 1972, NASA
"lobbied against further rocket research." In addition, industry's interest
in the MCD/SLV was stifled by NASA whose stated intent was to use the Shuttle
to build and service the space station.
Col London's excellent, most comprehensive work provides relevant information,
circa 1994. Selected portions of his report are summarized below. You will
notice his relatively benign approach to the subject, particularly in the
beginning. However, high-impact passages can be found throughout the report
when he describes the political and economical pressures that thwarted
the use of the MCD criteria. Remember, he was writing from within the "high-cost"
side of the fence. Judging from my experiences, I did not expect the Air
Force to release the final report.
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A study of launch vehicle costs shows that if these costs could be drastically
reduced, say, by an order of magnitude or more, many significant programs
might be realized or sustained.
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Although the U.S. has adequate launch capability, we may lose out against
lower-cost, foreign competition.
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There are a number of new launch vehicle concepts under study and development,
but it is wondered whether any of them can appreciably reduce cost.
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Our heritage in designing to the minimum weight/maximum performance criteria
may effectively hinder a drastic change in design philosophy.
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It is a myth that space vehicles must be complicated, delicate, and costly.
Launch vehicle components built in a "foundry" may be practicable and the
way to go.
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The right design choices, particularly the choice of the propulsion system-the
system that has the most impact on the overall vehicle design-determines
whether life-cycle cost of a new SLV can compete with the recurring costs
of existing SLVs.
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Finally, in 1988, some of the terminology used in the MCD criteria became
somewhat acceptable in the aerospace community. The Air Force, in announcing
their Advanced Launch System project (later canceled) stated that one of
its objectives is to reduce costs. More specifically they stated that weight
may be traded for cost in the vehicle design; this may be regarded as an
significant break with the minimum weight/maximum performance criteria.
This was followed in a 1989 paper given by a Pakistani who featured his
(national) vehicle as having been designed to the MCD criteria. A DoD/NASA
paper published in 1991 concluded that the "pathway to low-cost, highly
operable space transportation" essentially lies in adopting the MCD criteria.
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There is a strong link between the cost of an SLV and the complexity and
cost of the payload it carries. As launch cost in $/pound of payload decreases,
so can the payload cost decrease and the reliability increase. (In later
columns I plan to show this relationship graphically and explain how a
designer can approach the payload design problem analytically.)
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Nevertheless, there is not much enthusiasm for minimum-cost launch vehicles
as exemplified by NASA's and the Air Force's sponsorship, respectively,
of the SSTO and the EELV programs. (See Column dated January 26, 1997.
NASA hopes to achieve low operating costs by advancing technology while
the Air Force is relying mainly on existing technology except for a few
components that are apparently designed to guidelines derived from the
MCD criteria.)
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After reviewing the numerous SLV system studies currently being performed
by major aerospace contractors and newly organized companies, all using
the MCD criteria, Col London issues a clarion call, a plea, to those responsible
for policy to fully and quickly accept the MCD criteria. He further calls
for the design an MCD/SLV using current technology.
As indicated earlier, these columns will provide the analytical tools and
the design methodology-although they were published in 1968 but perhaps
in too much of an abbreviated form-that will better explain the MCD criteria,
and hopefully, inspire its use.
| Do
government agencies such as NASA and DoD have a preference for high cost
programs? What do you think?
[clicking on "you" opens link to discussions that followed the initial
posting of this column] |
 |
Next Column: The start of a personal
account of the work that led to the development of the MCD criteria.
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